The shock Tory grandee's seat that REFORM is set to take in the election - new poll reveals
Penny Mordaunt (left), Grant Shapps (middle) and Suella Braverman (right) are all at risk of losing their seat in the general election
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New MRP polling has revealed 18 seats set to be taken by Reform UK in the upcoming general election on July 4.
A number of high-profile Conservative candidates are fighting to keep their seats across the UK as Farage's party wins over voters.
Pollsters Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now conducted a large-scale poll for GB News using MPR to predict the results of the upcoming election.
The pollsters predict the former Secretary of State for the Home Department Suella Braverman will lose her seat in the upcoming election.
Suella Braverman is standing as a candidate for the new Hampshire constituency Fareham and Waterlooville outlined above
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Braverman is standing as the conservative candidate for the new Hampshire constituency Fareham and Waterlooville having served Fareham as MP since 2015.
The poll projects Reform will win the seat with 29 per cent of the vote share while Labour sits at 25 per cent and the Conservatives in third place with 23 per cent.
A further 20 per cent of the vote share is expected to go to the Liberal Democrats.
In 2019, she won the Fareham seat with 63.7 per cent of the vote share, but since then Braverman hit the headlines with some controversial statements.
This chart shows the seats Reform UK is projected to win and the 2019 general election winner for that seat Find out now and Electoral CalculusIn November 2023, Braverman was sacked as home secretary following her failure to get approval from No.10 for an article published in The Times that accused the police of bias in the policing of pro-Palestinian protest marches.
Braverman also caused a stir after she claimed people "living on the streets" was a "lifestyle choice," prompting complaints from a number of Conservative MPs.
Braverman served as the Secretary of State for the Home Department in 2022 and 2023.
She previously held the position of Attorney General between February 2020 and September 2022.
She also served as Parliamentary Under Secretary of State at the Department for Exiting the European Union from January to November 2018.
Suella Braverman was sacked as as home secretary in November 2023
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Reform UK is projected to take over 16 seats won by the Conservatives in the 2019 general election and two by Labour.
Other leading Tories expected to lose their seats include Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt, Secretary of State Grant Shapps and Leader of the House of Commons Penny Mordaunt.
The fieldwork for these results was conducted from June 14 to June 24, with a sample size of over 19,000 people.
The poll used MRP methodology to predict every seat and also prompted respondents with the official list of candidates and parties in their own seat, and asked them to indicate how they would vote at the general election.
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