Reform tipped to win TWICE as many seats as Tories as full seat breakdown reveals bloodbath in blue heartland
Ex-Labour Adviser admits Nigel Farage and Reform UK are a 'REAL FORCE'
GB News
Reform UK would win almost twice as many seats as the Conservative Party if an election were held tomorrow, finds a new national poll.
It follows a wave of high-profile defections, and after a weekly tracker recently found one in five Tory voters have switched allegiances.
In the shock new survey, 25 per cent of Britons said they would now plump for Reform over the two main parties.
The same number would vote for Labour, the pollsters at Find Out Now found - but the data looks damning for the Conservatives, which has seen its potential vote share plummet to just 20 per cent.
In a seat model by Election Map UK - based on the Find Out Now poll - Reform is on track to trounce the Tories, winning 170 and 89 seats, respectively.
In the shock new survey, 25 per cent of Britons said they would now plump for Reform over the two main parties
REFORM UKBased on this modelling, Labour would reduce its majority to 238 seats as Reform nips at its heels.
Blue on blue
Reform's projected incursion into Tory heartland is most striking.
GB News has crunched the numbers from the Find Out Now poll and found all but one seat in Essex would turn turquoise blue if an election were held tomorrow.
The only seat that Conservatives would retain is Epping Forest, the polling suggests.
In Thurrock - a unitary authority that represents a huge opportunity for the party - Reform is projected to clinch 36.6 per cent of the vote, with Conservatives trailing behind 12.3 per cent.
Here's the full breakdown:
Basildon and Billericay predicted vote share: Reform 38.2%, Con 21.6%
Braintree predicted vote share: Reform 34.5%, Con 26.5%
Brentwood and Ongar predicted vote share: Reform 35.9%, Con 27.7%
Castle Point predicted vote share: Reform 41.2%, Con 29.1%
Chelmsford predicted vote share: Reform 25.0%, Con 21.5%
Clacton predicted vote share: Reform 57.4%, Con 18.9%
Colchester predicted vote share: Reform 26.5%, Con 14.5%
Epping Forest predicted vote share: Reform 11.6%, Con 34.2%
Harlow predicted vote share: Reform 32.9%, Con 22.8%
Harwich and North Essex predicted vote share: Reform 31.8%, Con 25.4%
Maldon predicted vote share: Reform 36.7%, Con 29.8%
North West Essex predicted vote share: Reform 31.8%, Con 25.4%
Rayleigh and Wickford predicted vote share: Reform 36.8%, Con 28.0%
Southend East and Rochford predicted vote share: Reform 29.5%, Con 19.6%
Southend West and Leigh predicted vote share: Reform 29%, Con 22.5%
Thurrock predicted vote share: Reform 36.6%, Con 12.3%
Witham predicted vote share: Reform 30.9%, Con 28.2%
These projections build on Reform's already impressive foothold in Essex.
Of its five seats in Parliament, two come from that county – Clacton, and South Basildon and East Thurrock.
LATEST MEMBERSHIP DEVELOPMENTS
All but one seat in Essex would turn turquoise blue if an election were held tomorrow, new polling suggests
Nigel FarageThis augurs well for the county council elections in May - a key stepping stone on the road to power.
MP for South Basildon and East Thurrock James McMurdock is laser-focused on getting voters to turn out.
"I cannot stress enough what an opportunity this is for the people to be and get the change they need," he recently posted on X.
You may like
