Reform: The seats that Farage could take as support soars - is YOUR constituency one?

An opinion poll by Omnisis showed Tory support slipping from 24.4 per cent to just 20 per cent, with Labour stabilising at 33 per cent.

Support for the Liberal Democrats and Green Party remains broadly unchanged, with the progressive parties obtaining 11 per cent and eight per cent respectively.

Electoral Calculus' predictor has indicated that such a change in public mood would result in Reform UK returning 17 MPs to the House of Commons.

The populist party would likely pick up Basildon & Billericay, Bridgwater, Bridlington & the Wolds, Castle Point, Faversham & Mid Kent, Havant, Hornchurch & Upminster, Isle of Wight East and Maidstone & Malling from the Tories.

Reform UK would also make some advances compared to Ukip in 2014 and 2015 by winning several Labour-held seats, including Llanelli, South West Norfolk and Sittingbourne & Sheppey.

Farage's party finished second in 98 constituencies, with 20 seats requiring a swing of less than six per cent for Reform to emerge victorious.

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Amber Valley, Dudley and Montgomeryshire & Glyndwr would be in touching distance for Reform UK, with the populist party now trailing Labour by less than one per cent in the three target seats.

However, dozens of other constituencies would also come into play as the split on the right appears to ensure Labour will keep its grip on power.

Top targets include: Chatham & Aylesford, Cannock Chase, North Warwickshire & Bedworth, Folkestone & Hythe, Lowestoft, Rayleigh & Wickford, Tipton & Wednesbury and Louth & Horncastle.

The latest opinion poll comes as a shock to many after Farage received widespread criticism for his response to the recent riots across England and Northern Ireland.

YouGov found Farage's personal popularity plummeted from -35 per cent to -42 per cent.

The Clacton MP's approval rating was broadly unchanged among 2024 Reform UK voters.

However, Farage witnessed a slump from seven per cent to -4 per cent among 2016 Brexit backers.

The Brexit supremo also loosened his grip on 2024 Tory supporters, with the 60-year-old's approval among Conservatives slipping from -10 per cent to -27 per cent.

However, the Omnisis survey suggested the Conservative Party might not have reached rock bottom just yet.

The Tories would likely lose 22 seats, taking the Conservative Party's overall haul to just 99.

Ex-Chancellor Jeremy Hunt would lose his Surrey seat to the Liberal Democrats, with Sir Ed Davey making a single gain.

Labour would also make net gains of six, including in Mel Stride's Central Devon constituency.

However, Health Secretary Wes Streeting could face the chop as an independent challenger looks poised to snatch his Ilford North seat.