Reform UK would unseat eight cabinet ministers if an election was held tomorrow, a new mega poll has found.
The poll of voter intention, based on a representative sample of at least 16,000 respondents by More in Common, projects Nigel Farage's party would romp to victory with 180 seats, largely at the expense of Labour, which would lose 246 seats.
A light blue wave at the ballot box would hollow out Starmer's cabinet, the mega poll suggests, with eight ministers poised to lose their seats to Reform.
Here's a look at each one and the projected percentage swing to Nigel Farage's party in their respective constituencies.
Eight cabinet ministers tipped to lose their seats to Reform, with massive swings projected for the insurgent party
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Deputy Prime Minister and Housing Secretary, Angela Rayner
Rayner would lose her seat of Ashton-under-Lyne to Reform, with the Deputy PM finishing up on 27 per cent of the vote while Reform would clinch the seat on 39 per cent - a 12 per cent gain.
Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, Pat McFadden
McFadden would be defeated at the ballot box, losing his Wolverhampton South East seat to Reform with a five per cent swing, finishing up on 33 per cent to Reform's 34 per cent.
Home Secretary Yvette Cooper
Cooper would lose her seat of Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley to Reform UK by a decisive margin, securing 22 per cent and 45 per cent of the vote, respectively - a swing of 23 per cent.
Defense Secretary John Healey
Healey's seat of Rawmarsh and Conisbrough would also experience an enormous swing, with the minister finishing up on 23 per cent and Reform's candidate on 46 per cent - a swing of 24 per cent.
Education Secretary and Minister for Women and Equalities Bridget Phillipson
Phillipson's Houghton and Sunderland South seat would experience a swing of 18 per cent, with the Education Secretary finishing up on 24 per cent and the insurgent party candidate bagging 42 per cent of the vote.
Energy Secretary Ed Miliband
Miliband would lose his Doncaster North to Reform, with the Energy Secretary finishing up on 28 per cent to the insurgent party candidate's 33 per cent - a swing of five per cent.
Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds
Reynolds would experience a modest swing to Reform's candidate too, losing his seat of Stalybridge and Hyde. The Business Secretary would finish up on 28 per cent and Nigel Farage's pick on 38 per cent.
Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy
Nandy is also facing defeat at the ballot box, losing her Wigan seat to Reform UK on 25 and 38 per cent, respectively - a swing of 13 per cent.
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The model points to a UK political system more fragmented than at any time in history
More in Common
A dose of reality
Although the recent mood music will buoy Reform, success is far from assured this far out from the next General Election.
As party insiders and pollsters point out, the party has a "depth, not width problem", meaning its support is widely scattered but has not been deep enough to tip the scales under the first-past-the-post election.
They note that reform has to broaden its appeal to the wider electorate to break the stranglehold of the two main parties.
