Reform is on the rise in SCOTLAND as Labour begins to lose voters - SHOCK POLL

Nigel Farage and Keir Starmer

Labour has dropped five points in the polls, narrowing the gap between Starmer's party and the SNP

PA
Hannah Ross

By Hannah Ross


Published: 19/06/2024

- 09:38

Nigel Farage's party are taking one in five of the Conservatives 2019 voters in Scotland

Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, has made gains in Scotland since last month whilst the Labour Party has dropped back.

Meanwhile, the SNPs and the Conservatives have largely maintained the same amount of support.


The latest YouGov polling in Scotland shows Reform has increased by 3 points, bringing them from 4 per cent of the vote share on May 17 to 7 per cent this month.

Reform UK has overtaken the Green Party in Scotland which dropped one point, putting them just behind Nigel's party.

YouGov poll on Scotland voting intentions

This poll shows that Labour have dropped in the polls while Reform have seen a rise

YouGov

The Liberal Democrats are polling only one point ahead of Reform, at 8 per cent, although their results have not changed since April.

The poll, conducted on June 3 to 7, shows the 10-point lead Starmer's party held in mid-May has fallen back to only 4 points ahead of the Scottish National Party.

Labour fell from 39 per cent of the overall vote share in May to 34 per cent in June.

Nevertheless, the SNP has not made noticeable progress and only rose one point this month standing at 30 per cent.

Rishi Sunak

The Conservative Party are hanging on to half of their 2019 voters (49 per cent), with one in five leaving the party for Reform UK

PA

The Conservative Party continue to trail in third place, on 13 per cent of the vote, compared to 12 per cent in May.

The SNP and the Conservatives have lost a number of voters since the 2019 general election.

The Tories are only hanging on to half of their 2019 voters (49 per cent), with one in five leaving the party for Reform UK(19 per cent) and similarly for Labour. A further 7 per cent have gone to the Greens.

The SNP has also lost more than a third of its voters since 2019 with only 62 per cent still supporting the party.

A quarter of SNP voters (24 per cent) are choosing Labour while a further 7 per cent are moving over to the Greens.

According to YouGov's MRP model, the SNP, who have long dominated Scottish politics, could lose 31 of its total seats on July 4 while the Labour Party could gain 33.

This would be a massive win for Labour who only gained one seat in the last general election.

The data shows that the SNP could be entirely ejected from Scotland's largest city, Glasgow, as Labour is set to take all six Glasgow constituencies.

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