Starmer will be toppled as PM in just ONE YEAR, shock new poll suggests

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GB News
George Bunn

By George Bunn


Published: 05/01/2025

- 08:55

Updated: 05/01/2025

- 10:11

The poll found the cost of living and the NHS were the two biggest problems facing families

A new poll has found Britons believe Sir Keir Starmer will be ousted as Prime Minister within a year.

The poll said the public expects the Labour leader to last another year at most, with more than two thirds (68 per cent) saying he is doing "badly" just half a year into the job.


The Deltapoll survey for The Mail on Sunday reveals that 69 per cent think the country is heading in the wrong direction, with the cost-of-living crisis and the state of the NHS topping the list of concerns.

In concerning news for Conservatives and Labour, 20 per cent of those tested said they believe Nigel Farage will be the UK's next PM and 46 per cent said Kemi Badenoch was not doing well at her job as Tory leader.

Keir Starmer, Kemi Badenoch, Nigel Farage

The new poll has suggested Britons think Starmer will not be PM by this time next year

PA

It comes after 20 councillors at Broxtowe Borough Council in Nottinghamshire quit the party, saying they had "abandoned traditional Labour values" under Keir Starmer’s leadership, citing issues such as the cut to the winter fuel allowance and Labour's stance on the war in Gaza.

Co-founder and director of Deltapoll Joe Twyman said: "Just six months since arriving in Downing Street, Keir Starmer's poll rating may well be causing concern.

"With potentially more than four years until the election, there will be some who believe that the Prime Minister has plenty of time to turn things around.

"But the direction of travel in the polls has been downwards and without an improvement in economic circumstances, significantly improving the numbers may well turn out to be difficult.

"While not exactly a Winter of Discontent, this is clearly a Winter of Dissatisfaction and as 2025 begins, the polls will not bring new year cheer to the Labour Party."

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The poll of 1,144 British adults online between December 30, 2024 and January 3, 2025 found Labour still lead on voting intention.

Approximately 30 per cent of those polled saying they plan to support Starmer's party at the next General Election, compared with 23 per cent for the Conservatives and 22 per cent for Reform.

Around 33 per cent said they are particularly worried about the economy, while 14 per cent said they are anxious about the effects of high taxes on themselves and their families.

Among Labour voters, Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner tops the list as the likely successor, while respondents who voted Conservative at the last election support a comeback for Boris Johnson to frontline politics.

Angela Rayner

Labour voters believe Angela Rayner is the most likely to become the next Prime Minister

PA

Speaking about the poll's findings, one Labour MP told the Mail: "If this poll doesn't ring alarm bells in No 10, then we really are doomed. Sadly, it confirms what I and other Labour colleagues are now finding on the doorstep.

"There never was much support for Keir. But after a catalogue of blunders – from scrapping winter fuel payments to hiking taxes – what little support there was for the Prime Minister has collapsed."

However one Labour source rebuked the poll's findings, saying: "The public has got used to huge instability at the top of government. They expect Prime Ministers to change every five minutes.

"Keir was elected to bring an end to that chaos. That is exactly what he will do. If that means digging in through some tough times and showing we can deliver change in the long term, that's what he will do."

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