Tory WIPEOUT: Rishi Sunak to LOSE SEAT as bombshell new poll shows Labour set for nearly 400-seat majority

Tory WIPEOUT: Rishi Sunak to LOSE SEAT as bombshell new poll shows Labour set for nearly 400-seat majority
Millie Cooke

By Millie Cooke


Published: 19/06/2024

- 16:50

Updated: 20/06/2024

- 07:42

The Liberal Democrats are on course to be just behind the Tories, putting them just a few seats away from being the official opposition

Rishi Sunak is forecast to lose his seat at the general election, a bombshell new poll has shown.

This would make him the first sitting prime minister ever to lose their seat at a general election.


Analysis conducted by Savanta and Electoral Calculus put the Tories on course to return just 53 seats - with around three-quarters of the Cabinet losing their seats.

The Liberal Democrats are on course to be just behind the Tories on 50 MPs.

\u200bRishi Sunak

Rishi Sunak is forecast to lose his seat at the general election, a bombshell new poll has shown

PA

The poll predicts Labour would return 516 seats, with an estimated House of Commons majority of 382. This would be double that won by Tony Blair in his 1997 landslide victory.

The polling, commissioned by The Telegraph, spoke to around 18,000 people between June 7 and June 18.

Sunak is predicted to lose his Richmond seat to Labour, but Savanta warned that the race still hangs in the balance as a result of the close margins.

According to the Institute for Government, no prime minister has ever lost their seat at a general election.

The polling also suggests that Penny Mordaunt, Grant Shapps, Suella Braverman, and Robert Jenrick would lose their seats.

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt and Home Secretary James Cleverly are also forecast to lose their seats, meaning that three of the four great offices of state holders would be ousted.

Reform UK would not win any seats, the poll suggested.

However, Nigel Farage only became the leader of the party just days before the polling began - meaning the Reform could see an improvement in its prospects before voters go to the polls.

Plaid Cymru would return four seats, while the Greens would get zero seats.

Yesterday, Sunak denied he had given up on winning the election as he continued the Conservative campaign in seats with large Tory majorities.

Asked during a visit to a farm in North Devon, where Selaine Saxby is defending a majority of almost 15,000, whether he had given up on victory, the Prime Minister said: “No. It’s because as I say whenever someone asks me a question like that I say the same thing which is I don’t take a single vote for granted and I’m going to be in every single part of our country talking to people about the choice at this election.

“Why have I been in the places I’ve been today in Devon?

“Well firstly, I was with fishing communities, because the choice is crystal clear at this election, the Labour Party did not mention the word fishing once in their manifesto, whereas we’ve made sure there’s an extra billion pounds of cash available for British fishing fleets… again, there’s only one party at this election that’s really on the side of British farmers… that’s what I’m doing in Devon today.”

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