UK recession weaker than first thought – but GDP still shrank by 0.3 per cent

UK recession weaker than first thought – but GDP still shrank by 0.3 per cent

Jeremy Hunt reacting to the economy figures announced today

GBNews
Temie Laleye

By Temie Laleye


Published: 28/03/2024

- 09:11

Updated: 28/03/2024

- 09:12

The revised figures GDP figures show a little growth in the first quarter and small contractions in the latter half of the year.

The recession the UK entered into at the end of last year was less severe than first thought, latest figures have shown.

A small revision, not visible in the headline figures, mean cumulative decline in the two quarters was 0.4 per cent, rather than a previously estimated 0.5 per cent.


The economy still shrunk for two quarters in a row, but the total contraction over that six-month period dropped by 0.1 percentage point, from 0.5 per cent to 0.4 per cent.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) announced last month that, according to its estimates, the UK’s gross domestic product (GDP) shrank by 0.1 per cent between June and September last year, then by another 0.3 per cent between September and the end of the year.

That was unrevised from the statisticians’ previous estimates, it was announced today.

Liz McKeown, ONS director of economic statistics said: “Our updated set of GDP figures shows quarterly growth unrevised across 2023, with a little growth in the first quarter and small contractions in the latter half of the year.

Jeremy Hunt

The GDP shrank by 0.1 per cent between June and September last year

GETTY

“New figures on households show that savings remained high, with an increase in income in the last quarter of the year.”

Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt said: “Last year was tough as interest rates had to rise to bring down inflation, but we can see our plan is working.”

However, Rachel Reeves, Labour’s shadow chancellor said the latest ONS figures confirmed the Conservatives have not made any progress with the economy.

She said: “Rishi Sunak has broken his promise to grow the economy and left Britain in recession with working people paying the price.

“The Conservatives cannot claim that their plan is working or that they have turned the corner on more than fourteen years of economic failure. It is time for a change.”

Sarah Olney, Liberal Democrat Treasury spokeswoman said: “These damning figures confirm the damage done to the UK economy by Rishi’s recession.

“This Conservative government has no plan for growth or to help families paying the price for years of economic chaos through soaring mortgages and rents.”

However, the Chancellor has stated cuts to National Insurance are aimed to help Britons by putting more cash back in their pockets.

He said: “Our cuts to National Insurance will boost growth by rewarding work and putting over £900 a year back into the average earner’s pocket.”

This is not the first-time recession figures have been revised and labelled less severe than first believed.

In 2011, it was reported there was a “double-dip” when Chancellor George Osborne was appointed, however this was revised and it was reported that it did not happen.

LATEST DEVELOPMENTS:

However, the ONS said all three sectors – services, production and construction – had dropped in the final months 2023.

The recession was only less severe due to a rise in government spending.

Services declined by a weaker 0.1 percent compared with a 0.2 percent fall in the first estimate, but without making a difference to overall trade.

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