Could Trump's guilty verdict scupper Farage's plans for America? Analysis by Millie Cooke

Last night, Donald Trump became the first ever former US president convicted of a felony

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Millie Cooke

By Millie Cooke


Published: 01/06/2024

- 06:00

A survey conducted in April found that 16 per cent of Trump backers would reconsider their support if the ex-President was convicted of a felony

Last night, Donald Trump became the first ever former US president convicted of a felony.

He’s also the first presumptive major-party nominee to become a convicted felon.


Found guilty on all 34 counts of falsifying business records, the jury came to the decision after 9.5 hours of deliberations.

With the US election just six months away, the historic ruling will no doubt have far-reaching implications.

Donald Trump/Nigel Farage

Last night, Donald Trump became the first ever former US president convicted of a felony

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Current polling puts Trump head-to-head with Joe Biden, but he currently holds a slightly edge in some key swing states that may well have decided the election.

But this conviction could change that.

Exit polls conducted during the Republican primaries this winter saw double-digit numbers of voters say that they would not vote for Trump if he were convicted of a felony.

A survey conducted by Ipsos and ABC News in April found that 16 per cent of Trump backers would reconsider their support in such a scenario.

Just after leaving the courtroom, Trump told reporters: "The real verdict is going to be [on] 5 November, by the people."

But last night's verdict may also impact someone closer to home - Nigel Farage.


The Reform UK Honorary President last week confirmed that he will not stand as a candidate at the UK General Election, saying he instead intends to help with the election campaign in the US.

This part may not change given Farage has publicly lent his support to Trump since the verdict, saying he will tell the former US President to "stay strong".

But one idea floated has been that the former Ukip leader could be eyeing up a job as the UK ambassador to the US - something that is only likely to materialise if Trump wins the election.

If the polling above comes true, this could throw a major spanner in the works for Reform UK's Honorary President.

Trump is set to appeal the guilty verdict, which could allow him to get the conviction quashed. But if he fails - it may not just be the ex-US President who is impacted.

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